SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
21-18-3 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
18-14-9 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 2.89 | 0.885 | -- |
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 3.80 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.89 Ldr
GAA
3.80
0.885 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
KINGS
0%
SHARKS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around LA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
LA By 1 goal
19.7%
LA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
LA @ SJ
4 - 5
Jan 7, 2026
SJ @ LA
4 - 3
Nov 20, 2025
LA @ SJ
3 - 4
Oct 28, 2025
LA @ SJ
4 - 3
Mar 30, 2025
SJ @ LA
1 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.7% more
Los Angeles: 30.4
vs
San Jose: 27.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.2%
Los Angeles: 50.8%
vs
San Jose: 48.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+23.0% more
San Jose: 6.2
vs
Los Angeles: 4.8
Hits (L5)
+20.6% more
San Jose: 20.2
vs
Los Angeles: 16.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
2.0
4
LA Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 16.5
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
50.8 / 48.7
44.6 / 55.4
Hits
16.0 / 20.2
12.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
22.5 / 29.6
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.4 / 27.3
26.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 6.2
3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
SJ
LA
SJ
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
ATS
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
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