Home / NFL Projections NFL / 49ers @ Eagles SF @ PHI

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

12-5  |  Road

23
FINAL
Sun, Jan 11 • 4:30 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

11-6  |  Home

19
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
49ERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (San Francisco)
49ersSF (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

82.3%

Eagles Cover

17.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SF -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-6 points

13.5%

SF By 7-13 points

19.3%

PHI By 1-6 points

8.6%

PHI By 7-13 points

5.3%

AI Model Projected Score
30
SAN FRANCISCO
17
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
24
SAN FRANCISCO
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 49ers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
D
Sim u43.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 11, 2026 SF @ PHI 23 - 19
Dec 3, 2023 SF @ PHI 42 - 19
Jan 29, 2023 SF @ PHI 7 - 31
Sep 19, 2021 SF @ PHI 17 - 11
Oct 4, 2020 PHI @ SF 25 - 20
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +52.7% more
Philadelphia: 1.7 vs San Francisco: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +28.4% more
Philadelphia: 136.9 vs San Francisco: 106.6
Yards Per Play (L5) +16.5% more
Philadelphia: 5.7 vs San Francisco: 4.9
Total Yards (L5) +15.0% more
Philadelphia: 352.5 vs San Francisco: 306.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 30.0 23
PHI Score 17.0 19
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
SF
PHI
SF
ML
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
John Lynch Credits 49ers' Offensive Line for Surging Start to 20…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Bengals Defender Exposes Malik Willis's Pre-Throw Tic Before Dol…
bleacherreport 2 hours, 56 minutes ago
Eagles Receiver Dontayvion Wicks Added to Injury Report with Ham…
sportingnews 3 hours ago
Ravens' Gamble on Cam Jurgens: A Trade That Demands Two Grades
si 8 hours, 53 minutes ago
NFL Media Unanimously Backs 49ers as Top Team Despite Chiefs' Re…
yahoo 1 day, 2 hours ago