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CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

7-8  |  Road

74
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 8:00 PM ET
UTSA Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

UTSA

ROADRUNNERSUTSA

4-10  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
0%
📊
ROADRUNNERS
100%
49ERS --
ROADRUNNERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
UTSA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
49ersCLT (-3.5) 0 RoadrunnersUTSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

49ers Cover

38.2%

Roadrunners Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTSA +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTSA)

CLT By 1-7 points

27.2%

CLT By 8-14 points

20.1%

UTSA By 1-7 points

21.6%

UTSA By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
97
CHARLOTTE
94
UTSA
Simulated Score
69
CHARLOTTE
72
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 49ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Roadrunners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Roadrunners (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Roadrunners (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 UTSA @ CLT 88 - 79
Jan 7, 2026 CLT @ UTSA 74 - 58
Mar 9, 2025 UTSA @ CLT 83 - 80
Feb 15, 2024 UTSA @ CLT 70 - 79
Jan 13, 2024 CLT @ UTSA 66 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +31.4% more
Charlotte: 5.0 vs UTSA: 3.4
Assists (L5) +20.6% more
Charlotte: 14.1 vs UTSA: 11.2
Field Goal % (L5) +10.7%
Charlotte: 45.8% vs UTSA: 35.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.9%
Charlotte: 35.5% vs UTSA: 25.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 97.0 74
UTSA Score 94.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.6 / 35.5 30.0 / 30.0
Assists 11.2 / 14.1 10.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.4 / 5.0 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 35.1 / 45.8 36.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 76.6 / 79.9 58.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 34.5 29.0 / 47.0
Steals 7.2 / 5.6 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 10.7 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
UTSA
5-25-0 (16.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
UTSA
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
CLT
UTSA
CLT
ML
83% 24-5
62% 21-13
48% 14-15
67% 22-11
ATS
72% 21-8
68% 23-11
50% 15-15
67% 22-11
TTL
66% 19-10
65% 22-12
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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