Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buccaneers @ Eagles CHSO @ WIN

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

11-6  |  Road

77
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 6:30 PM ET
Winthrop Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

9-8  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
BUCCANEERS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BuccaneersCHSO (-3.5) 0 EaglesWIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buccaneers Cover

46.0%

Eagles Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)

CHSO By 1-7 points

26.2%

CHSO By 8-14 points

16.9%

WIN By 1-7 points

24.3%

WIN By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
74
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
73
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
68
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
75
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buccaneers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 CHSO @ WIN 81 - 86
Feb 26, 2026 WIN @ CHSO 84 - 86
Jan 7, 2026 CHSO @ WIN 77 - 81
Feb 5, 2025 WIN @ CHSO 83 - 65
Jan 15, 2025 CHSO @ WIN 97 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.0% more
Charleston Southern: 5.2 vs Winthrop: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +23.7% more
Charleston Southern: 13.3 vs Winthrop: 10.2
Assists (L5) +18.9% more
Charleston Southern: 15.8 vs Winthrop: 12.8
Field Goal % (L5) +7.9%
Charleston Southern: 49.6% vs Winthrop: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 74.0 77
WIN Score 73.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.7 / 34.2 18.0 / 26.0
Assists 12.8 / 15.8 9.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.8 / 5.2 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 49.6 40.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 76.1 / 62.5 61.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 41.9 / 41.3 51.0 / 46.0
Steals 6.5 / 4.9 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 13.3 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
WIN Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
CHSO
WIN
CHSO
ML
70% 23-10
43% 13-17
79% 26-7
67% 20-10
ATS
79% 26-7
50% 15-15
79% 26-7
68% 21-10
TTL
58% 19-14
50% 15-15
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 6 hours, 53 minutes ago
Oregon Ducks vs. UCLA Bruins: Unbeaten Bruins Invade Autzen as C…
si 2 days, 6 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 1 hour ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 7 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days ago