DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
8-7 | Road
66
BRADLEY
BRAVESBRAD
10-6 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
BRAVES
0%
BULLDOGS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
185.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
DRKE By 1-7 points
12.2%
DRKE By 8-14 points
4.0%
BRAD By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRAD By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Drake
88
DRAKE
Bradley
97
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
Drake
68
DRAKE
Bradley
72
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 185.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
BRAD @ DRKE
87 - 73
Jan 7, 2026
DRKE @ BRAD
66 - 93
Mar 9, 2025
BRAD @ DRKE
48 - 63
Feb 16, 2025
BRAD @ DRKE
61 - 59
Jan 8, 2025
DRKE @ BRAD
64 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+114.5% more
Bradley: 3.1
vs
Drake: 1.5
Rebounding (L5)
+22.5% more
Bradley: 35.8
vs
Drake: 29.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.2%
Bradley: 75.6%
vs
Drake: 58.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Bradley: 37.7%
vs
Drake: 33.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DRKE Score
88.0
66
BRAD Score
97.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 33.9
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
11.4 / 13.6
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.1 / 1.5
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.9 / 46.4
51.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 58.3
68.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 29.3
41.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.9
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 9.8
8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
BRAD
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
BRAD
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
DRKE
BRAD
DRKE
ML
65%
22-12
59%
20-14
68%
23-11
38%
13-21
ATS
59%
20-14
85%
29-5
68%
23-11
38%
13-21
TTL
68%
23-11
56%
19-15
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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