PRESBYTERIAN
BLUE HOSEPRES
8-8 | Road
61
RADFORD
HIGHLANDERSRAD
8-8 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
BLUE HOSE
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Radford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)
PRES By 1-7 points
2.2%
PRES By 8-14 points
0.4%
RAD By 1-7 points
9.3%
RAD By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Presbyterian
92
PRESBYTERIAN
Radford
111
RADFORD
Simulated Score
Presbyterian
68
PRESBYTERIAN
Radford
72
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
PRES @ RAD
91 - 85
Jan 31, 2026
RAD @ PRES
93 - 84
Jan 7, 2026
PRES @ RAD
61 - 80
Mar 7, 2025
PRES @ RAD
69 - 74
Feb 22, 2025
PRES @ RAD
80 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+59.9% more
Radford: 9.1
vs
Presbyterian: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+22.8% more
Radford: 4.5
vs
Presbyterian: 3.7
Turnovers (L5)
+11.7% more
Radford: 13.7
vs
Presbyterian: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Radford: 37.1%
vs
Presbyterian: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRES Score
92.0
61
RAD Score
111.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.1 / 32.2
46.0 / 29.0
Assists
15.0 / 14.7
13.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.5 / 3.7
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 48.5
50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
72.7 / 71.4
88.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 35.1
32.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.1 / 5.7
3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 12.3
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
RAD
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
PRES
RAD
PRES
ML
77%
23-7
69%
22-10
76%
22-7
80%
24-6
ATS
63%
19-11
59%
19-13
77%
23-7
80%
24-6
TTL
67%
20-10
59%
19-13
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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