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STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

12-3  |  Road

69
FINAL
Wed, Jan 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Cassell Coliseum
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

12-3  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
100%
📊
HOKIES
0%
CARDINAL --
HOKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Virginia Tech)
CardinalSTAN (-3.5) 0 HokiesVT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinal Cover

9.7%

Hokies Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VT -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

STAN By 1-7 points

6.8%

STAN By 8-14 points

1.7%

VT By 1-7 points

18.6%

VT By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
STANFORD
87
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
69
STANFORD
74
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hokies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hokies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hokies (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Hokies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 7, 2026 STAN @ VT 69 - 68
Jan 8, 2025 VT @ STAN 59 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +51.0% more
Virginia Tech: 15.0 vs Stanford: 9.9
Turnovers (L5) +43.9% more
Virginia Tech: 14.2 vs Stanford: 9.8
Rebounding (L5) +17.0% more
Virginia Tech: 39.4 vs Stanford: 33.7
Blocks (L5) +14.0% more
Virginia Tech: 3.7 vs Stanford: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STAN Score 74.0 69
VT Score 87.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 35.4 35.0 / 36.0
Assists 15.0 / 9.9 7.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.2 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 41.0 40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 69.8 / 72.7 76.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 39.4 / 33.7 36.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.0 / 7.9 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 9.8 9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
VT
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
STAN
VT
STAN
ML
53% 17-15
48% 16-17
72% 23-9
50% 16-16
ATS
59% 19-13
48% 16-17
72% 23-9
50% 16-16
TTL
69% 22-10
55% 18-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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