ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
21-18-3 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
21-12-7 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 4.05 | 0.895 | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.05
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.895 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
FLYERS
100%
DUCKS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)
ANA By 1 goal
19.7%
ANA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Anaheim
4
ANAHEIM
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Ducks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Ducks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Ducks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Ducks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
PHI @ ANA
3 - 2
Jan 6, 2026
ANA @ PHI
2 - 5
Jan 11, 2025
ANA @ PHI
0 - 6
Dec 28, 2024
PHI @ ANA
3 - 1
Nov 10, 2023
PHI @ ANA
6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+36.8% more
Anaheim: 5.9
vs
Philadelphia: 3.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.1% more
Anaheim: 36.7
vs
Philadelphia: 29.3
Power Play % (L5)
+4.0%
Anaheim: 5.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 1.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.4% more
Philadelphia: 15.6
vs
Anaheim: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.0
2
PHI Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 12.4
23.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
52.3 / 51.9
63.1 / 36.9
Hits
19.0 / 16.8
22.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
1.7 / 5.7
12.5 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 36.7
39.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 5.9
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ANA
PHI
ANA
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
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