Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Cougars LIN @ SIUE

LINDENWOOD

LIONSLIN

10-5  |  Road

62
FINAL
Tue, Jan 6 • 8:30 PM ET
First Community Arena
View Odds Details →

SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

9-6  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
📊
COUGARS
100%
LIONS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
LINDENWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Lindenwood)
LionsLIN (-3.5) 0 CougarsSIUE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

99.7%

Cougars Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIN -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIN)

LIN By 1-7 points

1.7%

LIN By 8-14 points

6.8%

SIUE By 1-7 points

0.2%

SIUE By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
78
LINDENWOOD
50
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Simulated Score
72
LINDENWOOD
78
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lions Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lions (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 3, 2026 SIUE @ LIN 78 - 72
Jan 6, 2026 LIN @ SIUE 62 - 66
Jan 30, 2025 SIUE @ LIN 63 - 65
Jan 4, 2025 LIN @ SIUE 47 - 58
Feb 15, 2024 LIN @ SIUE 63 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +34.6% more
Lindenwood: 5.1 vs SIU Edwardsville: 3.4
Assists (L5) +16.0% more
Lindenwood: 15.5 vs SIU Edwardsville: 13.0
Rebounding (L5) +13.3% more
Lindenwood: 39.9 vs SIU Edwardsville: 34.6
Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
Lindenwood: 49.3% vs SIU Edwardsville: 41.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIN Score 78.0 62
SIUE Score 50.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 37.9 40.0 / 19.0
Assists 13.0 / 15.5 10.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.4 / 5.1 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.7 / 49.3 42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 65.3 73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 39.9 37.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.6 / 7.6 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 11.6 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
SIUE Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
SIUE Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.8
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIUE
LIN
SIUE
LIN
ML
65% 20-11
47% 15-17
60% 18-12
61% 19-12
ATS
55% 17-14
34% 11-21
60% 18-12
61% 19-12
TTL
48% 15-16
53% 17-15
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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