AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
BADGERS
100%
BRUINS
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (UCLA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UCLA -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)
UCLA By 1-7 points
1.1%
UCLA By 8-14 points
4.8%
WIS By 1-7 points
0.1%
WIS By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UCLA
85
UCLA
Wisconsin
55
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
UCLA
68
UCLA
Wisconsin
72
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Badgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Badgers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 6, 2026
UCLA @ WIS
72 - 80
Mar 14, 2025
WIS @ UCLA
86 - 70
Jan 21, 2025
WIS @ UCLA
83 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+45.2% more
UCLA: 9.8
vs
Wisconsin: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+12.8% more
UCLA: 15.6
vs
Wisconsin: 13.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.7%
UCLA: 34.6%
vs
Wisconsin: 25.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.8%
UCLA: 77.6%
vs
Wisconsin: 72.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score
85.0
72
WIS Score
55.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.9 / 34.6
33.0 / 6.0
Assists
13.6 / 15.6
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.9
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 48.7
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 77.6
74.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 30.1
32.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.4 / 9.8
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 10.2
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
UCLA
WIS
UCLA
ML
60%
21-14
67%
24-12
69%
24-11
76%
25-8
ATS
51%
18-17
61%
22-14
69%
24-11
76%
25-8
TTL
57%
20-15
61%
22-14
100%
35-0
100%
33-0