Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Aggies @ Tigers TA&M @ AUB

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

11-3  |  Road

90
FINAL
Tue, Jan 6 • 9:00 PM ET
Neville Arena
View Odds Details →

AUBURN

TIGERSAUB

9-5  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
AGGIES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
AUBURN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Auburn)
AggiesTA&M (-3.5) 0 TigersAUB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

46.0%

Tigers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AUB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AUB)

TA&M By 1-7 points

24.3%

TA&M By 8-14 points

13.7%

AUB By 1-7 points

26.2%

AUB By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
118
TEXAS A&M
119
AUBURN
Simulated Score
73
TEXAS A&M
78
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 6, 2026 TA&M @ AUB 90 - 88
Mar 4, 2025 AUB @ TA&M 72 - 83
Jan 9, 2024 TA&M @ AUB 55 - 66
Feb 7, 2023 AUB @ TA&M 78 - 83
Jan 25, 2023 TA&M @ AUB 79 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.0% more
Auburn: 5.1 vs Texas A&M: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
Auburn: 71.3% vs Texas A&M: 68.9%
Steals (L5) +24.8% more
Texas A&M: 9.9 vs Auburn: 7.5
Assists (L5) +21.6% more
Texas A&M: 20.4 vs Auburn: 16.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score 118.0 90
AUB Score 119.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 37.0 27.0 / 43.0
Assists 16.0 / 20.4 12.0 / 14.0
Blocks 5.1 / 3.5 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 49.9 45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 71.3 / 68.9 74.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 42.4 40.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.5 / 9.9 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 14.0 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
AUB
22-16-0 (57.9%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
AUB
15-23-0 (39.5%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
TA&M
AUB
TA&M
ML
58% 22-16
67% 20-10
75% 24-8
54% 15-13
ATS
74% 28-10
67% 20-10
75% 24-8
54% 15-13
TTL
53% 20-18
70% 21-9
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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