Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Broncos @ RedHawks WMU @ M-OH

WESTERN MICHIGAN

BRONCOSWMU

6-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Jan 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Millett Hall
View Odds Details →

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

15-0  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
0%
📊
REDHAWKS
100%
BRONCOS --
REDHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+13.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BroncosWMU (-3.5) 0 RedHawksM-OH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Broncos Cover

9.7%

RedHawks Cover

90.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH +13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)

WMU By 1-7 points

18.6%

WMU By 8-14 points

26.8%

M-OH By 1-7 points

6.8%

M-OH By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
80
WESTERN MICHIGAN
67
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
68
WESTERN MICHIGAN
72
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Broncos Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim RedHawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI RedHawks (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +13.0
D
Sim RedHawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u160.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 M-OH @ WMU 69 - 67
Jan 6, 2026 WMU @ M-OH 76 - 87
Feb 15, 2025 M-OH @ WMU 70 - 78
Jan 11, 2025 WMU @ M-OH 71 - 91
Feb 20, 2024 M-OH @ WMU 58 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +12.4% more
Western Michigan: 39.5 vs Miami (OH): 34.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +12.5%
Miami (OH): 44.8% vs Western Michigan: 32.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +8.9%
Miami (OH): 81.7% vs Western Michigan: 72.8%
Assists (L5) +8.8% more
Miami (OH): 17.2 vs Western Michigan: 15.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WMU Score 80.0 76
M-OH Score 67.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 44.8 / 32.4 23.0 / 25.0
Assists 17.2 / 15.8 12.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.6 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 45.0 50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 81.7 / 72.8 79.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 39.5 41.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.2 / 6.3 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 12.6 14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -4.7 ATS +/-: +1.1
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WMU
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -4.7 ATS +/-: +1.1
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WMU
18-11-0
O: 62.1% / U: 37.9% Total +/-: +1.3
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
WMU
M-OH
WMU
ML
45% 15-18
60% 18-12
41% 13-19
70% 21-9
ATS
61% 20-13
67% 20-10
41% 13-19
70% 21-9
TTL
61% 20-13
57% 17-13
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…
yahoo 1 week, 4 days ago
Big Ten Silence Fuels Outrage Over Controversial Replay Call in …
yahoo 3 weeks, 6 days ago
Bryce Underwood's NFL Draft Stock Drops After Disappointing Seas…
si 4 weeks, 1 day ago
Controversial Extra Second Gives Michigan a Miraculous Win: Insi…
si 1 month ago
Michigan Fans Face Backlash for Storming Field After Controversi…
headtopics 1 month ago