DARTMOUTH
BIG GREENDART
6-7 | Road
76
HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
7-7 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
BIG GREEN
0%
CRIMSON
100%
BIG GREEN
--
CRIMSON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
DARTMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Dartmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DART -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DART)
DART By 1-7 points
16.9%
DART By 8-14 points
26.2%
HARV By 1-7 points
5.8%
HARV By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Dartmouth
68
DARTMOUTH
Harvard
54
HARVARD
Simulated Score
Dartmouth
69
DARTMOUTH
Harvard
73
HARVARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Big Green
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crimson
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Big Green (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Crimson (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
HARV @ DART
71 - 58
Jan 5, 2026
DART @ HARV
76 - 68
Mar 8, 2025
DART @ HARV
58 - 66
Feb 8, 2025
HARV @ DART
56 - 76
Mar 5, 2024
HARV @ DART
69 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.3% more
Dartmouth: 18.5
vs
Harvard: 12.7
Rebounding (L5)
+31.2% more
Dartmouth: 42.9
vs
Harvard: 29.5
Steals (L5)
+37.4% more
Harvard: 6.9
vs
Dartmouth: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+16.0% more
Harvard: 4.1
vs
Dartmouth: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DART Score
68.0
76
HARV Score
54.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 38.7
28.0 / 45.0
Assists
12.7 / 18.5
11.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.5
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 47.5
40.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 71.0
73.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
29.5 / 42.9
31.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.1
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DART
11-16-0
(40.7%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DART
11-14-0
(44.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.5
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DART
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HARV
DART
HARV
DART
ML
45%
13-16
62%
16-10
52%
15-14
50%
13-13
ATS
45%
13-16
65%
17-9
52%
15-14
50%
13-13
TTL
41%
12-17
88%
23-3
100%
29-0
100%
26-0
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