COLUMBIA
LIONSCOLU
11-3 | Road
104
CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
7-6 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
BIG RED
100%
LIONS
--
BIG RED
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLUMBIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Columbia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLU)
COLU By 1-7 points
27.2%
COLU By 8-14 points
20.1%
COR By 1-7 points
21.6%
COR By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbia
82
COLUMBIA
Cornell
79
CORNELL
Simulated Score
Columbia
70
COLUMBIA
Cornell
78
CORNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Big Red
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Big Red (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u172.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u172.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
COR @ COLU
88 - 67
Jan 5, 2026
COLU @ COR
104 - 99
Mar 8, 2025
COLU @ COR
81 - 100
Jan 11, 2025
COR @ COLU
94 - 83
Mar 9, 2024
COR @ COLU
98 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+28.8% more
Columbia: 47.2
vs
Cornell: 33.6
Blocks (L5)
+25.8% more
Columbia: 3.3
vs
Cornell: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+11.0% more
Columbia: 12.6
vs
Cornell: 11.2
Steals (L5)
+8.5% more
Columbia: 6.6
vs
Cornell: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLU Score
82.0
104
COR Score
79.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 36.4
45.0 / 43.0
Assists
20.5 / 21.9
28.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.3
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 51.9
44.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
74.6 / 67.4
90.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 47.2
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.6
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 12.6
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLU
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLU
Advantage
13-13-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
COLU
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COR
COLU
COR
COLU
ML
44%
12-15
44%
12-15
63%
17-10
56%
15-12
ATS
59%
16-11
59%
16-11
63%
17-10
56%
15-12
TTL
78%
21-6
74%
20-7
100%
27-0
100%
27-0
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