Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Tigers TXSO @ GRAM

TEXAS SOUTHERN

TIGERSTXSO

2-10  |  Road

67
FINAL
Mon, Jan 5 • 7:30 PM ET
Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

7-7  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
TIGERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Texas Southern)
TigersTXSO (-3.5) 0 TigersGRAM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

99.8%

Tigers Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TXSO -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TXSO)

TXSO By 1-7 points

1.4%

TXSO By 8-14 points

5.8%

GRAM By 1-7 points

0.1%

GRAM By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
TEXAS SOUTHERN
64
GRAMBLING
Simulated Score
68
TEXAS SOUTHERN
72
GRAMBLING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 GRAM @ TXSO 79 - 82
Jan 5, 2026 TXSO @ GRAM 67 - 84
Feb 15, 2025 TXSO @ GRAM 67 - 60
Jan 6, 2025 GRAM @ TXSO 66 - 71
Mar 16, 2024 TXSO @ GRAM 66 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +14.9% more
Texas Southern: 36.0 vs Grambling: 30.6
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
Texas Southern: 74.3% vs Grambling: 71.0%
Assists (L5) +32.5% more
Grambling: 13.1 vs Texas Southern: 9.9
Steals (L5) +19.8% more
Grambling: 8.3 vs Texas Southern: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TXSO Score 93.0 67
GRAM Score 64.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.8 / 23.0 43.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.1 / 9.9 9.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.4 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 44.1 49.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 71.0 / 74.3 67.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 36.0 33.0 / 25.0
Steals 8.3 / 6.9 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 16.3 / 16.0 12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TXSO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
GRAM Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TXSO
9-19-0 (32.1%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
GRAM Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GRAM
TXSO
GRAM
TXSO
ML
68% 21-10
64% 18-10
68% 17-8
71% 17-7
ATS
61% 19-12
61% 17-11
68% 17-8
71% 17-7
TTL
58% 18-13
71% 20-8
100% 25-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 12 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days ago