YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
11-2 | Road
70
BROWN
BEARSBRWN
6-7 | Home
53
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
BEARS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Brown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)
YALE By 1-7 points
12.2%
YALE By 8-14 points
4.0%
BRWN By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRWN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Yale
59
YALE
Brown
68
BROWN
Simulated Score
Yale
75
YALE
Brown
68
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bears (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 6, 2026
BRWN @ YALE
69 - 81
Jan 5, 2026
YALE @ BRWN
70 - 53
Mar 8, 2025
YALE @ BRWN
70 - 61
Jan 11, 2025
BRWN @ YALE
58 - 79
Mar 17, 2024
BRWN @ YALE
61 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+138.9% more
Brown: 9.9
vs
Yale: 4.1
Blocks (L5)
+44.0% more
Brown: 3.4
vs
Yale: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+26.1% more
Brown: 19.7
vs
Yale: 15.7
Rebounding (L5)
+9.7% more
Brown: 43.9
vs
Yale: 40.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YALE Score
59.0
70
BRWN Score
68.0
53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.0 / 39.6
23.0 / 35.0
Assists
19.7 / 15.7
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.4 / 2.3
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 46.5
31.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 75.5
60.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 40.0
36.0 / 44.0
Steals
9.9 / 4.1
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 8.7
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
YALE
BRWN
YALE
ML
56%
15-12
48%
15-16
67%
18-9
58%
18-13
ATS
59%
16-11
65%
20-11
67%
18-9
58%
18-13
TTL
59%
16-11
61%
19-12
100%
27-0
100%
31-0
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