WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
11-3 | Road
79
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
9-6 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
100%
COUGARS
0%
TRIBE
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
W&M By 1-7 points
2.7%
W&M By 8-14 points
0.5%
COFC By 1-7 points
10.7%
COFC By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
William & Mary
81
WILLIAM & MARY
Charleston
99
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
William & Mary
65
WILLIAM & MARY
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o164.5
Win
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 5, 2026
W&M @ COFC
79 - 88
Feb 3, 2025
COFC @ W&M
75 - 90
Feb 19, 2024
W&M @ COFC
57 - 65
Feb 3, 2024
COFC @ W&M
84 - 83
Jan 16, 2023
W&M @ COFC
54 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.5% more
Charleston: 4.8
vs
William & Mary: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+35.1% more
William & Mary: 19.3
vs
Charleston: 12.6
Steals (L5)
+16.1% more
William & Mary: 7.3
vs
Charleston: 6.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
William & Mary: 36.1%
vs
Charleston: 29.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
W&M Score
81.0
79
COFC Score
99.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 36.1
38.0 / 25.0
Assists
12.6 / 19.3
19.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.5
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 50.4
47.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
74.2 / 77.6
79.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 34.7
47.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.2 / 7.3
3.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 12.0
19.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
W&M
COFC
W&M
ML
66%
19-10
55%
17-14
62%
18-11
61%
19-12
ATS
59%
17-12
63%
19-11-1
62%
18-11
61%
19-12
TTL
68%
19-9-1
61%
19-12
100%
29-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…
Vanderbilt Basketball: Three Standout Performers from Exhibition…