MILWAUKEE

PANTHERSMILW

7-8  |  Road

76
FINAL
Mon, Jan 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Resch Center
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GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

7-8  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
PHOENIX
100%
PANTHERS --
PHOENIX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Milwaukee)
PanthersMILW (-3.5) 0 PhoenixGB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

98.6%

Phoenix Cover

1.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MILW -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)

MILW By 1-7 points

5.8%

MILW By 8-14 points

15.3%

GB By 1-7 points

1.1%

GB By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
79
MILWAUKEE
57
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
71
MILWAUKEE
78
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Phoenix Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Phoenix (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 GB @ MILW 72 - 75
Jan 5, 2026 MILW @ GB 76 - 79
Jan 11, 2025 GB @ MILW 59 - 70
Dec 11, 2024 MILW @ GB 88 - 67
Mar 7, 2024 MILW @ GB 95 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +34.2% more
Milwaukee: 6.4 vs Green Bay: 4.2
Rebounding (L5) +25.0% more
Milwaukee: 40.2 vs Green Bay: 30.2
Blocks (L5) +21.2% more
Milwaukee: 2.0 vs Green Bay: 1.6
Turnovers (L5) +15.1% more
Green Bay: 11.5 vs Milwaukee: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MILW Score 79.0 76
GB Score 57.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.1 / 30.1 33.0 / 45.0
Assists 11.5 / 11.6 12.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.6 / 2.0 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 41.6 62.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 75.7 / 71.9 69.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 30.2 / 40.2 24.0 / 27.0
Steals 4.2 / 6.4 4.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 10.0 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
GB Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -3.0
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.0
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1