AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
PHOENIX
100%
PANTHERS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MILW -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MILW)
MILW By 1-7 points
5.8%
MILW By 8-14 points
15.3%
GB By 1-7 points
1.1%
GB By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
79
MILWAUKEE
Green Bay
57
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
71
MILWAUKEE
Green Bay
78
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phoenix
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Phoenix (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
GB @ MILW
72 - 75
Jan 5, 2026
MILW @ GB
76 - 79
Jan 11, 2025
GB @ MILW
59 - 70
Dec 11, 2024
MILW @ GB
88 - 67
Mar 7, 2024
MILW @ GB
95 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.2% more
Milwaukee: 6.4
vs
Green Bay: 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+25.0% more
Milwaukee: 40.2
vs
Green Bay: 30.2
Blocks (L5)
+21.2% more
Milwaukee: 2.0
vs
Green Bay: 1.6
Turnovers (L5)
+15.1% more
Green Bay: 11.5
vs
Milwaukee: 10.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MILW Score
79.0
76
GB Score
57.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 30.1
33.0 / 45.0
Assists
11.5 / 11.6
12.0 / 14.0
Blocks
1.6 / 2.0
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.5 / 41.6
62.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 71.9
69.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
30.2 / 40.2
24.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.2 / 6.4
4.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 10.0
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.0
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
MILW
GB
MILW
ML
48%
16-17
50%
16-16
67%
22-11
69%
22-10
ATS
52%
17-16
47%
15-17
67%
22-11
69%
22-10
TTL
58%
19-14
59%
19-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0