SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
18-14-7 | Road
5
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
18-19-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 1.00 | 0.976 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 4.13 | 0.852 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
4.13
0.976 Ldr
Save %
0.852
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
FLAMES
0%
KRAKEN
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
SEA By 1 goal
12.1%
SEA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.7%
CGY By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Push
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
CGY @ SEA
1 - 6
Oct 1, 2026
SEA @ CGY
6 - 1
Apr 11, 2026
CGY @ SEA
1 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
SEA @ CGY
5 - 1
Dec 18, 2025
SEA @ CGY
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+25.9% more
Calgary: 22.1
vs
Seattle: 17.6
Takeaways (L5)
+16.2% more
Calgary: 5.0
vs
Seattle: 4.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
Calgary: 49.3%
vs
Seattle: 45.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.9% more
Seattle: 18.8
vs
Calgary: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.0
5
CGY Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.4 / 18.8
12.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
49.3 / 45.8
54.5 / 45.5
Hits
22.1 / 17.6
35.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
2016.0 / 2800.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
24.4 / 27.4
42.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.3
6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
SEA
CGY
SEA
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-4
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