MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
15-20 | Road
115
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
8-27 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
KINGS
0%
BUCKS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
MIL By 1-7 points
12.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
4.0%
SAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
110
MILWAUKEE
Sacramento
119
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
112
MILWAUKEE
Sacramento
118
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+6)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 4, 2026
MIL @ SAC
115 - 98
Nov 1, 2025
SAC @ MIL
135 - 133
Mar 22, 2025
MIL @ SAC
114 - 108
Jan 14, 2025
SAC @ MIL
115 - 130
Mar 12, 2024
MIL @ SAC
94 - 129
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+24.3% more
Sacramento: 16.3
vs
Milwaukee: 13.1
Assists (L5)
+10.9% more
Milwaukee: 26.4
vs
Sacramento: 23.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Milwaukee: 40.8%
vs
Sacramento: 34.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Milwaukee: 48.9%
vs
Sacramento: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
110.0
115
SAC Score
119.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 40.8
20.0 / 27.0
Assists
23.6 / 26.4
17.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.4
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 48.9
43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
79.3 / 80.5
78.0 / 90.0
Rebounding
40.0 / 40.9
38.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.3 / 7.0
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 13.1
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
MIL
SAC
MIL
ML
55%
55-45
64%
61-35
61%
50-32
60%
49-32
ATS
54%
52-45-3
68%
65-31
61%
50-32
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
57-42-1
55%
53-43
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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