MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
22-13 | Road
141
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
9-24 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
WIZARDS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WSH +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
MIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
18.6%
WSH By 1-7 points
23.0%
WSH By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Washington
113
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Minnesota
107
MINNESOTA
Washington
118
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wizards (+11)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Wizards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u240.0
Loss
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Sim
u240.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 4, 2026
MIN @ WSH
141 - 115
Nov 19, 2025
WSH @ MIN
109 - 120
Feb 1, 2025
WSH @ MIN
105 - 103
Jan 13, 2025
MIN @ WSH
120 - 106
Apr 9, 2024
WSH @ MIN
121 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Minnesota: 49.0%
vs
Washington: 47.4%
Blocks (L5)
+38.1% more
Washington: 8.4
vs
Minnesota: 6.1
Turnovers (L5)
+18.9% more
Washington: 15.0
vs
Minnesota: 12.6
Rebounding (L5)
+11.2% more
Washington: 47.8
vs
Minnesota: 43.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
115.0
141
WSH Score
113.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 33.7
33.0 / 30.0
Assists
25.5 / 26.4
21.0 / 29.0
Blocks
8.4 / 6.1
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 49.0
49.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
80.0 / 79.4
89.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
47.8 / 43.0
35.0 / 51.0
Steals
8.1 / 8.2
9.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 12.6
19.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
MIN
WSH
MIN
ML
70%
112-49
54%
63-53
47%
39-44
54%
50-43
ATS
69%
111-49-1
58%
67-49
47%
39-44
54%
50-43
TTL
74%
119-41-1
63%
72-43-1
100%
83-0
100%
93-0
Contextual Game News
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener