LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
7-7 | Road
74
CHICAGO STATE
COUGARSCHST
2-12 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
COUGARS
0%
SHARKS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CHICAGO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Chicago State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHST -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHST)
LIU By 1-7 points
12.2%
LIU By 8-14 points
4.0%
CHST By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHST By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Long Island University
66
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Chicago State
75
CHICAGO STATE
Simulated Score
Long Island University
68
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Chicago State
72
CHICAGO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
CHST @ LIU
75 - 79
Feb 26, 2026
CHST @ LIU
56 - 73
Jan 4, 2026
LIU @ CHST
74 - 55
Mar 5, 2025
CHST @ LIU
57 - 68
Feb 1, 2025
LIU @ CHST
67 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+18.3%
Chicago State: 84.3%
vs
Long Island University: 66.0%
Blocks (L5)
+48.9% more
Long Island University: 4.5
vs
Chicago State: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+40.8% more
Long Island University: 17.0
vs
Chicago State: 10.1
Turnovers (L5)
+23.1% more
Long Island University: 11.7
vs
Chicago State: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIU Score
66.0
74
CHST Score
75.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 36.3
21.0 / 38.0
Assists
10.1 / 17.0
11.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.3 / 4.5
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
35.8 / 46.8
34.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
84.3 / 66.0
63.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 36.0
31.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.6 / 7.6
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 11.7
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
CHST
Advantage
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
CHST
Advantage
15-15-1
(50.0%)
Margin: -10.3
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHST
LIU
CHST
LIU
ML
75%
24-8
60%
21-14
73%
22-8
69%
24-11
ATS
69%
22-10
63%
22-13
73%
22-8
69%
24-11
TTL
44%
14-18
60%
21-14
100%
30-0
100%
35-0
Contextual Game News
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