Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Hoosiers WASH @ IU

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

9-4  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 8:00 PM ET
Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

HOOSIERSIU

10-3  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
HOOSIERS
0%
HUSKIES --
HOOSIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Indiana)
HuskiesWASH (-3.5) 0 HoosiersIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

0.0%

Hoosiers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)

WASH By 1-7 points

0.0%

WASH By 8-14 points

0.0%

IU By 1-7 points

0.0%

IU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
50
WASHINGTON
100
INDIANA
Simulated Score
70
WASHINGTON
75
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hoosiers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hoosiers (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Hoosiers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 4, 2026 WASH @ IU 80 - 90
Mar 1, 2025 IU @ WASH 78 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.2% more
Indiana: 12.9 vs Washington: 10.9
Assists (L5) +16.5% more
Indiana: 16.5 vs Washington: 14.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.1%
Indiana: 34.5% vs Washington: 24.4%
Blocks (L5) +55.5% more
Washington: 5.4 vs Indiana: 2.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WASH Score 50.0 80
IU Score 100.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 24.4 43.0 / 29.0
Assists 16.5 / 14.2 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.4 / 5.4 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 47.0 52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 78.3 / 81.2 80.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 39.4 33.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.6 / 6.5 1.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 10.9 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
IU Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
IU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
WASH
IU
WASH
ML
66% 21-11
45% 15-18
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
ATS
53% 17-15
48% 16-17
71% 22-9
66% 21-11
TTL
56% 18-14
70% 23-10
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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