Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Beavers @ Cougars ORST @ WSU

OREGON STATE

BEAVERSORST

8-8  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 7:30 PM ET
Beasley Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON STATE

COUGARSWSU

7-9  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BEAVERS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
BEAVERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington State)
BeaversORST (-3.5) 0 CougarsWSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Beavers Cover

46.0%

Cougars Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

ORST By 1-7 points

24.3%

ORST By 8-14 points

13.7%

WSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

WSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
59
OREGON STATE
60
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
68
OREGON STATE
75
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u140.5 Loss
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 WSU @ ORST 64 - 74
Jan 4, 2026 ORST @ WSU 67 - 81
Feb 6, 2025 WSU @ ORST 74 - 82
Feb 8, 2024 WSU @ ORST 64 - 58
Jan 4, 2024 ORST @ WSU 58 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +45.0% more
Washington State: 40.8 vs Oregon State: 28.1
Turnovers (L5) +18.7% more
Washington State: 14.3 vs Oregon State: 12.1
Blocks (L5) +12.3% more
Washington State: 3.7 vs Oregon State: 3.3
Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Washington State: 43.7% vs Oregon State: 41.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORST Score 59.0 67
WSU Score 60.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 38.7 35.0 / 36.0
Assists 11.2 / 12.7 13.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.3 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 41.9 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 75.4 73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 28.1 38.0 / 25.0
Steals 3.7 / 5.5 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 12.1 12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORST Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
WSU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORST Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
WSU
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORST
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +1.1
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
ORST
WSU
ORST
ML
78% 25-7
45% 15-18
69% 20-9
59% 19-13
ATS
78% 25-7
48% 16-17
69% 20-9
59% 19-13
TTL
62% 20-12
55% 18-15
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 6 hours, 42 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days ago
Houston Cougars Set for Nationally Televised Road Battle at Kans…
headtopics 1 week ago
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago