Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Toreros @ Broncos USD @ SCU

SAN DIEGO

TOREROSUSD

6-9  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Leavey Center
View Odds Details →

SANTA CLARA

BRONCOSSCU

12-4  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
TOREROS
100%
📊
BRONCOS
0%
TOREROS --
BRONCOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Santa Clara)
TorerosUSD (-3.5) 0 BroncosSCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Toreros Cover

4.5%

Broncos Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)

USD By 1-7 points

3.3%

USD By 8-14 points

0.6%

SCU By 1-7 points

12.2%

SCU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
73
SAN DIEGO
90
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
71
SAN DIEGO
78
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Broncos Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Broncos Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Broncos (+17.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Broncos (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 SCU @ USD 85 - 73
Jan 4, 2026 USD @ SCU 70 - 98
Feb 8, 2025 USD @ SCU 70 - 93
Jan 2, 2025 SCU @ USD 81 - 80
Mar 9, 2024 USD @ SCU 79 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +59.3% more
Santa Clara: 3.7 vs San Diego: 2.3
Steals (L5) +26.6% more
Santa Clara: 11.0 vs San Diego: 8.7
Assists (L5) +22.2% more
Santa Clara: 17.6 vs San Diego: 14.4
Rebounding (L5) +20.4% more
Santa Clara: 33.0 vs San Diego: 27.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USD Score 73.0 70
SCU Score 90.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 30.4 34.0 / 38.0
Assists 17.6 / 14.4 24.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.7 / 2.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 43.6 50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 72.5 / 74.8 100.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 27.4 49.0 / 25.0
Steals 11.0 / 8.7 13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 11.2 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USD
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
SCU Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USD Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -3.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
SCU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 10.0 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6% Total +/-: +0.5
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
USD
SCU
USD
ML
44% 15-19
58% 19-14
73% 22-8
70% 23-10
ATS
53% 18-16
55% 18-15
74% 23-8
70% 23-10
TTL
47% 16-18
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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