UTEP

MINERSUTEP

4-9  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 4:00 PM ET
Ocean Bank Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

PANTHERSFIU

8-5  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
MINERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Florida International)
MinersUTEP (-3.5) 0 PanthersFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Miners Cover

3.6%

Panthers Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FIU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

UTEP By 1-7 points

2.7%

UTEP By 8-14 points

0.5%

FIU By 1-7 points

10.7%

FIU By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
85
UTEP
103
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
68
UTEP
75
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 22, 2026 FIU @ UTEP 77 - 83
Jan 4, 2026 UTEP @ FIU 64 - 76
Feb 13, 2025 FIU @ UTEP 63 - 77
Jan 18, 2025 UTEP @ FIU 81 - 73
Mar 7, 2024 FIU @ UTEP 76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +80.8% more
Florida International: 18.9 vs UTEP: 10.4
Steals (L5) +31.0% more
Florida International: 9.6 vs UTEP: 7.3
Rebounding (L5) +27.5% more
Florida International: 40.8 vs UTEP: 32.0
Blocks (L5) +16.9% more
Florida International: 4.0 vs UTEP: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score 85.0 64
FIU Score 103.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.6 / 29.9 18.0 / 37.0
Assists 18.9 / 10.4 12.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.0 / 3.4 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 41.5 51.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 71.2 / 67.7 63.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 32.0 41.0 / 33.0
Steals 9.6 / 7.3 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 12.9 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
FIU Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
FIU Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -1.2
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +1.8