AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
MINERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
188.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Florida International)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FIU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)
UTEP By 1-7 points
2.7%
UTEP By 8-14 points
0.5%
FIU By 1-7 points
10.7%
FIU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UTEP
85
UTEP
Florida International
103
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
UTEP
68
UTEP
Florida International
75
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 188.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
FIU @ UTEP
77 - 83
Jan 4, 2026
UTEP @ FIU
64 - 76
Feb 13, 2025
FIU @ UTEP
63 - 77
Jan 18, 2025
UTEP @ FIU
81 - 73
Mar 7, 2024
FIU @ UTEP
76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+80.8% more
Florida International: 18.9
vs
UTEP: 10.4
Steals (L5)
+31.0% more
Florida International: 9.6
vs
UTEP: 7.3
Rebounding (L5)
+27.5% more
Florida International: 40.8
vs
UTEP: 32.0
Blocks (L5)
+16.9% more
Florida International: 4.0
vs
UTEP: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score
85.0
64
FIU Score
103.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 29.9
18.0 / 37.0
Assists
18.9 / 10.4
12.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.4
8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
51.0 / 41.5
51.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 67.7
63.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 32.0
41.0 / 33.0
Steals
9.6 / 7.3
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 12.9
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
FIU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
FIU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
FIU
15-13-1
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
UTEP
FIU
UTEP
ML
58%
18-13
70%
21-9
65%
20-11
72%
21-8
ATS
52%
16-15
57%
17-13
65%
20-11
73%
22-8
TTL
65%
20-11
60%
18-12
100%
31-0
100%
30-0