Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Hilltoppers LT @ WKU

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

8-5  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 3:00 PM ET
E.A. Diddle Arena
View Odds Details →

WESTERN KENTUCKY

HILLTOPPERSWKU

8-5  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
HILLTOPPERS
0%
BULLDOGS --
HILLTOPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Western Kentucky)
BulldogsLT (-3.5) 0 HilltoppersWKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

21.2%

Hilltoppers Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WKU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WKU)

LT By 1-7 points

13.7%

LT By 8-14 points

4.8%

WKU By 1-7 points

25.3%

WKU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
LOUISIANA TECH
62
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
72
LOUISIANA TECH
75
WESTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hilltoppers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hilltoppers (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Hilltoppers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 4, 2026 LT @ WKU 61 - 66
Feb 22, 2025 LT @ WKU 63 - 64
Jan 23, 2025 WKU @ LT 67 - 77
Feb 28, 2024 LT @ WKU 90 - 84
Feb 7, 2024 WKU @ LT 81 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +33.3% more
Western Kentucky: 3.3 vs Louisiana Tech: 2.5
Rebounding (L5) +20.2% more
Western Kentucky: 45.0 vs Louisiana Tech: 37.4
Assists (L5) +20.0% more
Western Kentucky: 14.6 vs Louisiana Tech: 12.2
Steals (L5) +17.5% more
Western Kentucky: 8.5 vs Louisiana Tech: 7.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 54.0 61
WKU Score 62.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 31.4 33.0 / 20.0
Assists 14.6 / 12.2 14.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.5 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.0 / 43.5 32.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 67.3 80.0 / 47.0
Rebounding 45.0 / 37.4 41.0 / 44.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.3 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.6 10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
WKU
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
WKU
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
WKU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WKU
LT
WKU
LT
ML
56% 18-14
58% 19-14
66% 21-11
72% 23-9
ATS
53% 17-15
61% 20-13
66% 21-11
72% 23-9
TTL
56% 18-14
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 2 hours, 11 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 2 hours, 22 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 21 hours, 8 minutes ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 2 hours ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 8 hours ago