Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Colonials @ Golden Grizzlies RMU @ OAK

ROBERT MORRIS

COLONIALSRMU

11-5  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 3:00 PM ET
OU Credit Union O'rena
View Odds Details →

OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

7-8  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
📊
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
0%
COLONIALS --
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
OAKLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Oakland)
ColonialsRMU (-3.5) 0 Golden GrizzliesOAK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonials Cover

4.5%

Golden Grizzlies Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OAK -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OAK)

RMU By 1-7 points

3.3%

RMU By 8-14 points

0.6%

OAK By 1-7 points

12.2%

OAK By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
76
ROBERT MORRIS
93
OAKLAND
Simulated Score
70
ROBERT MORRIS
78
OAKLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Grizzlies (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Golden Grizzlies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o161.5 Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u161.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 OAK @ RMU 69 - 93
Jan 4, 2026 RMU @ OAK 73 - 96
Mar 10, 2025 OAK @ RMU 76 - 79
Jan 25, 2025 OAK @ RMU 71 - 73
Jan 4, 2025 RMU @ OAK 79 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +70.7% more
Oakland: 2.4 vs Robert Morris: 1.4
Steals (L5) +16.0% more
Oakland: 6.2 vs Robert Morris: 5.4
Free Throw % (L5) +2.8%
Oakland: 75.0% vs Robert Morris: 72.2%
Assists (L5) +22.1% more
Robert Morris: 18.3 vs Oakland: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 76.0 73
OAK Score 93.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.4 / 38.6 19.0 / 23.0
Assists 14.3 / 18.3 18.0 / 19.0
Blocks 2.4 / 1.4 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 46.2 54.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 75.0 / 72.2 89.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 36.6 35.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.2 / 5.4 7.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 12.4 6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU Advantage
19-11-1 (63.3%)
Margin: 5.3 ATS +/-: +2.5
OAK
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.1
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OAK
RMU
OAK
RMU
ML
62% 20-12
36% 12-21
59% 19-13
56% 18-14
ATS
50% 16-16
55% 18-15
59% 19-13
56% 18-14
TTL
62% 20-12
55% 18-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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