Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Mastodons CLE @ PFW

CLEVELAND STATE

VIKINGSCLE

5-10  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 2:00 PM ET
Memorial Coliseum (IN)
View Odds Details →

PURDUE FORT WAYNE

MASTODONSPFW

8-8  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
📊
MASTODONS
100%
VIKINGS --
MASTODONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
CLEVELAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Cleveland State)
VikingsCLE (-3.5) 0 MastodonsPFW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

99.8%

Mastodons Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-7 points

1.4%

CLE By 8-14 points

5.8%

PFW By 1-7 points

0.1%

PFW By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
87
CLEVELAND STATE
58
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Simulated Score
72
CLEVELAND STATE
77
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vikings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mastodons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vikings (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Mastodons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u159.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 PFW @ CLE 92 - 86
Jan 4, 2026 CLE @ PFW 71 - 74
Mar 1, 2025 PFW @ CLE 57 - 68
Jan 30, 2025 CLE @ PFW 68 - 58
Feb 7, 2024 CLE @ PFW 75 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +27.9% more
Cleveland State: 35.5 vs Purdue Fort Wayne: 25.6
Turnovers (L5) +23.4% more
Cleveland State: 12.2 vs Purdue Fort Wayne: 9.4
Free Throw % (L5) +22.2%
Cleveland State: 79.4% vs Purdue Fort Wayne: 57.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.0%
Cleveland State: 47.0% vs Purdue Fort Wayne: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 87.0 71
PFW Score 58.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 36.9 30.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.0 / 14.1 15.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.3 2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 41.0 / 47.0 40.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 57.2 / 79.4 81.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 25.6 / 35.5 27.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.4 / 3.9 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.4 / 12.2 8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
PFW Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -0.3
PFW Advantage
12-17-0 (41.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +6.3
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PFW
CLE
PFW
CLE
ML
59% 19-13
52% 17-16
74% 23-8
64% 21-12
ATS
62% 20-12
64% 21-12
74% 23-8
64% 21-12
TTL
59% 19-13
52% 17-16
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 2 hours ago
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
aggieswire 4 days, 15 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 8 hours ago
WVU Lands Major Eligibility Boost: Lorient and Buchanan Cleared …
si 1 week, 1 day ago
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago