AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
BLUE HENS
100%
OWLS
--
BLUE HENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Kennesaw State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KENN -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)
KENN By 1-7 points
12.2%
KENN By 8-14 points
23.0%
DEL By 1-7 points
3.3%
DEL By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Kennesaw State
70
KENNESAW STATE
Delaware
53
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
Kennesaw State
68
KENNESAW STATE
Delaware
72
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Hens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Blue Hens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
DEL @ KENN
82 - 90
Jan 4, 2026
KENN @ DEL
52 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+37.2% more
Kennesaw State: 46.8
vs
Delaware: 29.4
Steals (L5)
+28.3% more
Kennesaw State: 7.4
vs
Delaware: 5.3
Assists (L5)
+12.2% more
Kennesaw State: 14.0
vs
Delaware: 12.3
Turnovers (L5)
+11.7% more
Kennesaw State: 13.5
vs
Delaware: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KENN Score
70.0
52
DEL Score
53.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 29.5
33.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.3 / 14.0
12.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.9
8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 41.3
50.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 72.9
59.0 / 92.0
Rebounding
29.4 / 46.8
34.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.3 / 7.4
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 13.5
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENN
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
DEL
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENN
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
KENN
DEL
KENN
ML
45%
14-17
74%
25-9
52%
16-15
72%
23-9
ATS
61%
19-12
71%
24-10
52%
16-15
73%
24-9
TTL
65%
20-11
56%
19-15
100%
31-0
100%
33-0