Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gamecocks @ Flames JXST @ LIB

JACKSONVILLE STATE

GAMECOCKSJXST

7-6  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 2:00 PM ET
Liberty Arena (VA)
View Odds Details →

LIBERTY

FLAMESLIB

10-3  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
0%
📊
FLAMES
100%
GAMECOCKS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (Jacksonville State)
GamecocksJXST (-3.5) 0 FlamesLIB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

99.8%

Flames Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JXST -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)

JXST By 1-7 points

1.4%

JXST By 8-14 points

5.8%

LIB By 1-7 points

0.1%

LIB By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
91
JACKSONVILLE STATE
62
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
65
JACKSONVILLE STATE
72
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Gamecocks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Gamecocks (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 LIB @ JXST 81 - 78
Jan 4, 2026 JXST @ LIB 69 - 78
Mar 15, 2025 JXST @ LIB 67 - 79
Feb 27, 2025 JXST @ LIB 55 - 59
Feb 1, 2025 LIB @ JXST 61 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.7% more
Jacksonville State: 12.4 vs Liberty: 10.1
Rebounding (L5) +8.2% more
Jacksonville State: 34.0 vs Liberty: 31.2
Blocks (L5) +68.6% more
Liberty: 5.3 vs Jacksonville State: 3.1
Assists (L5) +65.0% more
Liberty: 17.8 vs Jacksonville State: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JXST Score 91.0 69
LIB Score 62.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 38.8 36.0 / 32.0
Assists 17.8 / 10.8 14.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.3 / 3.1 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 50.8 / 47.7 44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 66.1 / 66.2 79.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 34.0 33.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.8 / 5.6 3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 12.4 7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
LIB Advantage
26-8-0 (76.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST Advantage
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
LIB
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3% Total +/-: +0.4
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
JXST
LIB
JXST
ML
50% 17-17
50% 16-16
53% 18-16
55% 17-14
ATS
62% 21-13
62% 20-12
53% 18-16
55% 17-14
TTL
41% 14-20
62% 20-12
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 6 hours ago
Fiske Named League Male Scholar-Athlete of the Year
hudsonvalleypress 2 months, 1 week ago
Sewickley Herald notebook: Panthers basketball standout embarkin…
triblive 2 months, 1 week ago
Tyrese Haliburton missed last season as he recovered from a torn…
si 2 months, 2 weeks ago
Aug 30, 2025; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Memphis Tigers kicker Gia…
si 2 months, 2 weeks ago