BELLARMINE
KNIGHTSBELL
5-8 | Road
76
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
6-8 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
ROYALS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
BELL By 1-7 points
6.8%
BELL By 8-14 points
1.7%
QUC By 1-7 points
18.6%
QUC By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Bellarmine
65
BELLARMINE
Queens University
78
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Bellarmine
70
BELLARMINE
Queens University
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u168.0
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u168.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
QUC @ BELL
75 - 78
Jan 3, 2026
BELL @ QUC
76 - 98
Feb 13, 2025
QUC @ BELL
92 - 87
Feb 3, 2024
BELL @ QUC
75 - 85
Feb 11, 2023
BELL @ QUC
88 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+189.0% more
Queens University: 2.8
vs
Bellarmine: 0.9
Steals (L5)
+36.7% more
Bellarmine: 5.7
vs
Queens University: 3.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.7%
Bellarmine: 35.2%
vs
Queens University: 24.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Bellarmine: 53.5%
vs
Queens University: 46.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BELL Score
65.0
76
QUC Score
78.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.5 / 35.2
44.0 / 45.0
Assists
14.8 / 14.9
27.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.8 / 0.9
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 53.5
49.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 80.5
62.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 31.1
40.0 / 27.0
Steals
3.6 / 5.7
7.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.7
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BELL
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BELL
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +9.2
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
BELL
QUC
BELL
ML
71%
25-10
72%
23-9
71%
24-10
94%
29-2
ATS
86%
30-5
72%
23-9
71%
24-10
94%
29-2
TTL
47%
16-18-1
50%
16-16
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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