GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
2-14 | Road
77
WINTHROP
EAGLESWIN
8-8 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
100%
EAGLES
0%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Winthrop)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)
GWEB By 1-7 points
13.7%
GWEB By 8-14 points
4.8%
WIN By 1-7 points
25.3%
WIN By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Gardner-Webb
64
GARDNER-WEBB
Winthrop
72
WINTHROP
Simulated Score
Gardner-Webb
73
GARDNER-WEBB
Winthrop
78
WINTHROP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+22.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
WIN @ GWEB
103 - 85
Jan 3, 2026
GWEB @ WIN
77 - 88
Feb 1, 2025
GWEB @ WIN
93 - 96
Jan 8, 2025
WIN @ GWEB
83 - 89
Mar 2, 2024
GWEB @ WIN
65 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.9% more
Winthrop: 13.7
vs
Gardner-Webb: 10.8
Rebounding (L5)
+17.3% more
Winthrop: 38.3
vs
Gardner-Webb: 32.7
Blocks (L5)
+15.4% more
Winthrop: 2.6
vs
Gardner-Webb: 2.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Gardner-Webb: 30.4%
vs
Winthrop: 28.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GWEB Score
64.0
77
WIN Score
72.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.0 / 30.4
24.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.7 / 10.8
11.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.6 / 2.3
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.1 / 41.7
45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 75.1
81.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
38.3 / 32.7
49.0 / 25.0
Steals
7.7 / 7.2
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 11.7
8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
WIN
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GWEB
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
WIN
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 8.2
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIN
GWEB
WIN
GWEB
ML
70%
23-10
73%
22-8
79%
26-7
63%
19-11
ATS
79%
26-7
73%
22-8
79%
26-7
63%
19-11
TTL
58%
19-14
53%
16-14
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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