LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
4-10 | Road
65
BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
3-11 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
BISON
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BUCK +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)
LEH By 1-7 points
27.2%
LEH By 8-14 points
20.1%
BUCK By 1-7 points
21.6%
BUCK By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
63
LEHIGH
Bucknell
60
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Lehigh
70
LEHIGH
Bucknell
73
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mountain Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bison (+4)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
BUCK @ LEH
79 - 89
Jan 3, 2026
LEH @ BUCK
65 - 72
Feb 17, 2025
LEH @ BUCK
50 - 67
Jan 2, 2025
BUCK @ LEH
64 - 66
Feb 12, 2024
LEH @ BUCK
71 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+47.8% more
Lehigh: 2.6
vs
Bucknell: 1.3
Assists (L5)
+23.8% more
Lehigh: 14.9
vs
Bucknell: 11.3
Steals (L5)
+14.8% more
Lehigh: 7.9
vs
Bucknell: 6.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Lehigh: 45.9%
vs
Bucknell: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
63.0
65
BUCK Score
60.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.5 / 31.7
32.0 / 25.0
Assists
11.3 / 14.9
15.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.3 / 2.6
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 45.9
37.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
60.3 / 62.3
94.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
28.5 / 29.1
35.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.9
14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 13.7
12.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
LEH
BUCK
LEH
ML
55%
18-15
56%
19-15
64%
21-12
68%
23-11
ATS
45%
15-18
56%
19-15
64%
21-12
68%
23-11
TTL
61%
20-13
76%
26-8
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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