Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Tigers MONM @ TOW

MONMOUTH

HAWKSMONM

6-8  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 6:00 PM ET
SECU Arena
View Odds Details →

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

8-7  |  Home

48
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
HAWKS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Towson)
HawksMONM (-3.5) 0 TigersTOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

1.4%

Tigers Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)

MONM By 1-7 points

1.1%

MONM By 8-14 points

0.1%

TOW By 1-7 points

5.8%

TOW By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
79
MONMOUTH
101
TOWSON
Simulated Score
68
MONMOUTH
72
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o136.5 Loss
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 TOW @ MONM 71 - 72
Jan 3, 2026 MONM @ TOW 62 - 48
Feb 15, 2025 MONM @ TOW 54 - 80
Feb 8, 2025 TOW @ MONM 73 - 67
Feb 22, 2024 MONM @ TOW 61 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +17.5% more
Towson: 38.3 vs Monmouth: 32.6
Blocks (L5) +52.4% more
Monmouth: 6.6 vs Towson: 3.1
Assists (L5) +28.8% more
Monmouth: 15.3 vs Towson: 10.9
Steals (L5) +14.2% more
Monmouth: 7.5 vs Towson: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONM Score 79.0 62
TOW Score 101.0 48
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.1 / 37.0 23.0 / 24.0
Assists 10.9 / 15.3 10.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.1 / 6.6 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 44.8 27.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 63.3 / 70.2 83.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 32.6 36.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.4 / 7.5 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.1 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
TOW
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: +1.9
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +0.1
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
MONM
TOW
MONM
ML
66% 21-11
62% 21-13
62% 20-12
64% 21-12
ATS
66% 21-11
62% 21-13
62% 20-12
64% 21-12
TTL
53% 17-15
59% 20-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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