WESTERN CAROLINA
CATAMOUNTSWCU
4-8 | Road
80
FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
10-4 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
0%
PALADINS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
--
PALADINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
WESTERN CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Western Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WCU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WCU)
WCU By 1-7 points
8.0%
WCU By 8-14 points
18.6%
FUR By 1-7 points
1.7%
FUR By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Carolina
93
WESTERN CAROLINA
Furman
73
FURMAN
Simulated Score
Western Carolina
73
WESTERN CAROLINA
Furman
78
FURMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Paladins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Catamounts (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Paladins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
FUR @ WCU
67 - 86
Jan 3, 2026
WCU @ FUR
80 - 77
Feb 5, 2025
WCU @ FUR
75 - 84
Jan 1, 2025
FUR @ WCU
90 - 61
Mar 9, 2024
FUR @ WCU
79 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.1% more
Western Carolina: 7.0
vs
Furman: 5.8
Turnovers (L5)
+16.5% more
Western Carolina: 13.8
vs
Furman: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Western Carolina: 65.1%
vs
Furman: 62.3%
Assists (L5)
+37.8% more
Furman: 17.8
vs
Western Carolina: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WCU Score
93.0
80
FUR Score
73.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 30.9
34.0 / 50.0
Assists
17.8 / 12.9
18.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 43.1
45.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
62.3 / 65.1
47.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 38.4
35.0 / 48.0
Steals
5.8 / 7.0
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 13.8
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
FUR
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
FUR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FUR
WCU
FUR
WCU
ML
71%
25-10
63%
19-11
62%
21-13
76%
22-7
ATS
63%
22-13
73%
22-8
62%
21-13
77%
23-7
TTL
57%
20-15
67%
20-10
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
