Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Chanticleers GAST @ CCU

GEORGIA STATE

PANTHERSGAST

4-11  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 1:00 PM ET
The HTC Center
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

8-7  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
0%
PANTHERS --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Coastal Carolina)
PanthersGAST (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

46.0%

Chanticleers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCU)

GAST By 1-7 points

24.3%

GAST By 8-14 points

13.7%

CCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

CCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
84
GEORGIA STATE
85
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
75
GEORGIA STATE
70
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chanticleers (+6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Panthers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 CCU @ GAST 76 - 71
Jan 3, 2026 GAST @ CCU 89 - 71
Feb 26, 2025 GAST @ CCU 74 - 80
Jan 11, 2025 CCU @ GAST 74 - 79
Feb 21, 2024 CCU @ GAST 71 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +22.1% more
Coastal Carolina: 2.9 vs Georgia State: 2.4
Rebounding (L5) +11.7% more
Coastal Carolina: 42.0 vs Georgia State: 37.6
Steals (L5) +37.8% more
Georgia State: 8.7 vs Coastal Carolina: 5.4
Assists (L5) +26.6% more
Georgia State: 12.9 vs Coastal Carolina: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GAST Score 84.0 89
CCU Score 85.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.6 / 32.3 31.0 / 57.0
Assists 9.5 / 12.9 9.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.4 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 38.8 / 43.7 39.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 80.5 82.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 42.0 / 37.6 38.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.4 / 8.7 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 11.0 12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GAST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GAST
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -4.3 ATS +/-: -1.5
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GAST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -2.4
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
GAST
CCU
GAST
ML
41% 13-19
56% 18-14
55% 17-14
71% 22-9
ATS
38% 12-20
59% 19-13
55% 17-14
71% 22-9
TTL
75% 24-8
59% 19-13
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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