Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Terriers @ Bulldogs WOF @ CIT

WOFFORD

TERRIERSWOF

9-5  |  Road

95
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 1:00 PM ET
McAlister Field House
View Odds Details →

THE CITADEL

BULLDOGSCIT

3-11  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
TERRIERS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
THE CITADEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (The Citadel)
TerriersWOF (-3.5) 0 BulldogsCIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Terriers Cover

0.0%

Bulldogs Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIT -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIT)

WOF By 1-7 points

0.0%

WOF By 8-14 points

0.0%

CIT By 1-7 points

0.5%

CIT By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
64
WOFFORD
97
THE CITADEL
Simulated Score
75
WOFFORD
72
THE CITADEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Terriers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 CIT @ WOF 93 - 90
Jan 3, 2026 WOF @ CIT 95 - 86
Feb 12, 2025 WOF @ CIT 74 - 71
Jan 22, 2025 CIT @ WOF 68 - 79
Feb 10, 2024 CIT @ WOF 64 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +27.7% more
The Citadel: 13.7 vs Wofford: 10.7
Blocks (L5) +38.2% more
Wofford: 3.6 vs The Citadel: 2.2
Steals (L5) +35.2% more
Wofford: 9.0 vs The Citadel: 5.8
Rebounding (L5) +12.7% more
Wofford: 36.8 vs The Citadel: 32.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WOF Score 64.0 95
CIT Score 97.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.6 / 33.2 50.0 / 56.0
Assists 11.7 / 13.2 17.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.6 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 38.4 / 44.7 54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 61.4 / 69.0 88.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 36.8 32.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.8 / 9.0 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 10.7 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
CIT
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
CIT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +4.9
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIT
WOF
CIT
WOF
ML
59% 19-13
39% 12-19
62% 20-12
61% 19-12
ATS
62% 20-12
58% 18-13
64% 21-12
61% 19-12
TTL
53% 17-15
65% 20-11
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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