Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Lions USI @ LIN

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

3-10  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 4:30 PM ET
Hyland Arena
View Odds Details →

LINDENWOOD

LIONSLIN

9-5  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
📊
LIONS
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
LIONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LINDENWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Lindenwood)
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 LionsLIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

15.9%

Lions Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIN)

USI By 1-7 points

10.7%

USI By 8-14 points

3.3%

LIN By 1-7 points

23.0%

LIN By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
51
SOUTHERN INDIANA
61
LINDENWOOD
Simulated Score
68
SOUTHERN INDIANA
72
LINDENWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lions Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lions Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lions (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Lions (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 29, 2026 LIN @ USI 73 - 60
Jan 3, 2026 USI @ LIN 80 - 83
Feb 15, 2025 USI @ LIN 78 - 81
Jan 16, 2025 LIN @ USI 73 - 80
Feb 29, 2024 LIN @ USI 67 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +87.9% more
Lindenwood: 16.7 vs Southern Indiana: 8.9
Blocks (L5) +28.0% more
Lindenwood: 4.7 vs Southern Indiana: 3.7
Field Goal % (L5) +13.7%
Lindenwood: 49.4% vs Southern Indiana: 35.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Lindenwood: 34.9% vs Southern Indiana: 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 51.0 80
LIN Score 61.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 33.1 44.0 / 29.0
Assists 16.7 / 8.9 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.7 / 3.7 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.4 / 35.6 49.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 60.5 / 59.8 75.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 39.8 / 37.6 40.0 / 32.0
Steals 7.4 / 7.2 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 12.9 12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
LIN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
LIN Advantage
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIN
USI
LIN
USI
ML
47% 15-17
67% 20-10
61% 19-12
61% 17-11
ATS
34% 11-21
70% 21-9
61% 19-12
61% 17-11
TTL
53% 17-15
73% 22-8
100% 31-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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