LSU
TIGERSLSU
12-1 | Road
72
TEXAS A&M
AGGIESTA&M
10-3 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
AGGIES
100%
TIGERS
--
AGGIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (LSU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LSU -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)
LSU By 1-7 points
20.1%
LSU By 8-14 points
27.2%
TA&M By 1-7 points
8.0%
TA&M By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
LSU
88
LSU
Texas A&M
76
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
LSU
70
LSU
Texas A&M
73
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Aggies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Aggies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
TA&M @ LSU
94 - 91
Jan 3, 2026
LSU @ TA&M
72 - 75
Mar 8, 2025
TA&M @ LSU
66 - 52
Jan 18, 2025
LSU @ TA&M
57 - 68
Jan 20, 2024
TA&M @ LSU
73 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.3% more
LSU: 6.2
vs
Texas A&M: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
LSU: 76.6%
vs
Texas A&M: 67.9%
Steals (L5)
+88.9% more
Texas A&M: 10.9
vs
LSU: 5.8
Assists (L5)
+51.8% more
Texas A&M: 24.2
vs
LSU: 15.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LSU Score
88.0
72
TA&M Score
76.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.0 / 33.6
29.0 / 32.0
Assists
24.2 / 15.9
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.2 / 6.2
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
53.8 / 50.8
42.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
67.9 / 76.6
71.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
44.5 / 37.6
38.0 / 30.0
Steals
10.9 / 5.8
8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 8.9
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LSU
--
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LSU
--
TA&M
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LSU
--
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
LSU
TA&M
LSU
ML
67%
20-10
62%
20-12
54%
15-13
62%
20-12
ATS
67%
20-10
66%
21-11
54%
15-13
62%
20-12
TTL
70%
21-9
72%
23-9
100%
28-0
100%
32-0
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