UTSA
ROADRUNNERSUTSA
4-9 | Road
57
TEMPLE
OWLSTEM
9-5 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
ROADRUNNERS
100%
OWLS
0%
ROADRUNNERS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEM -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
UTSA By 1-7 points
5.8%
UTSA By 8-14 points
1.4%
TEM By 1-7 points
16.9%
TEM By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
UTSA
64
UTSA
Temple
78
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
UTSA
70
UTSA
Temple
75
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
TEM @ UTSA
70 - 64
Jan 3, 2026
UTSA @ TEM
57 - 76
Jan 25, 2025
TEM @ UTSA
79 - 88
Mar 13, 2024
UTSA @ TEM
61 - 64
Mar 10, 2024
TEM @ UTSA
84 - 82
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.7%
Temple: 41.5%
vs
UTSA: 28.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.3%
Temple: 48.5%
vs
UTSA: 36.2%
Blocks (L5)
+9.2% more
Temple: 2.9
vs
UTSA: 2.6
Turnovers (L5)
+42.0% more
UTSA: 15.2
vs
Temple: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTSA Score
64.0
57
TEM Score
78.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.5 / 28.9
33.0 / 19.0
Assists
12.7 / 11.7
18.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.6
9.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 36.2
40.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 72.5
65.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 34.1
45.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.1 / 7.9
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 15.2
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTSA
5-25-0
(16.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
TEM
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTSA
10-18-0
(35.7%)
Margin: -11.3
ATS +/-: -3.9
TEM
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.2
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.2
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
UTSA
TEM
UTSA
ML
62%
20-12
83%
24-5
67%
20-10
48%
14-15
ATS
56%
18-14
72%
21-8
67%
20-10
50%
15-15
TTL
69%
22-10
66%
19-10
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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