Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Panthers CLEM @ PITT

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

11-3  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 12:00 PM ET
Petersen Events Center
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

7-7  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
TIGERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Pittsburgh)
TigersCLEM (-3.5) 0 PanthersPITT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

0.0%

Panthers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PITT -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

CLEM By 1-7 points

0.0%

CLEM By 8-14 points

0.0%

PITT By 1-7 points

0.1%

PITT By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
54
CLEMSON
93
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
69
CLEMSON
72
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 PITT @ CLEM 52 - 63
Jan 3, 2026 CLEM @ PITT 73 - 68
Jan 18, 2025 CLEM @ PITT 78 - 75
Feb 27, 2024 PITT @ CLEM 62 - 69
Dec 3, 2023 CLEM @ PITT 79 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.8% more
Pittsburgh: 2.5 vs Clemson: 1.8
Assists (L5) +22.9% more
Pittsburgh: 14.2 vs Clemson: 11.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Pittsburgh: 36.9% vs Clemson: 33.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Pittsburgh: 48.2% vs Clemson: 46.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score 54.0 73
PITT Score 93.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.9 / 33.9 35.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.2 / 11.6 9.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.5 / 1.8 0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 46.6 44.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 60.6 / 64.8 73.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 32.3 27.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.9 / 7.9 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 10.8 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
PITT Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
CLEM
PITT
CLEM
ML
58% 19-14
63% 22-13
45% 15-18
72% 23-9
ATS
64% 21-12
71% 25-10
45% 15-18
72% 23-9
TTL
61% 20-13
69% 24-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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