Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Explorers @ Revolutionaries LAS @ GW

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

4-10  |  Road

55
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 2:00 PM ET
Charles E. Smith Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

10-4  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
100%
📊
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
EXPLORERS --
REVOLUTIONARIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (George Washington)
ExplorersLAS (-3.5) 0 RevolutionariesGW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Explorers Cover

38.2%

Revolutionaries Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GW -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

LAS By 1-7 points

21.6%

LAS By 8-14 points

10.7%

GW By 1-7 points

27.2%

GW By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
LA SALLE
60
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
69
LA SALLE
73
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Revolutionaries Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Revolutionaries Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Revolutionaries (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Revolutionaries (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 GW @ LAS 104 - 77
Jan 3, 2026 LAS @ GW 55 - 77
Mar 1, 2025 LAS @ GW 60 - 71
Feb 1, 2025 GW @ LAS 67 - 73
Mar 12, 2024 GW @ LAS 60 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +119.0% more
George Washington: 8.4 vs La Salle: 3.8
Blocks (L5) +88.1% more
George Washington: 4.1 vs La Salle: 2.2
Assists (L5) +56.9% more
George Washington: 18.9 vs La Salle: 12.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.1%
George Washington: 40.6% vs La Salle: 27.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAS Score 57.0 55
GW Score 60.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.6 / 27.5 35.0 / 29.0
Assists 18.9 / 12.0 18.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.1 / 2.2 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 38.4 48.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 73.8 67.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 37.1 45.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.4 / 3.8 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 11.7 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
GW Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
LAS
GW
LAS
ML
63% 22-13
69% 22-10
60% 21-14
69% 22-10
ATS
69% 24-11
78% 25-7
60% 21-14
69% 22-10
TTL
60% 21-14
66% 21-11
100% 35-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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