Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Skyhawks EIU @ UTM

EASTERN ILLINOIS

PANTHERSEIU

4-9  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 4:30 PM ET
Kathleen and Tom Elam Center
View Odds Details →

UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

10-4  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
SKYHAWKS
0%
PANTHERS --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
UT MARTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (UT Martin)
PanthersEIU (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksUTM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

0.0%

Skyhawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTM -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTM)

EIU By 1-7 points

0.0%

EIU By 8-14 points

0.0%

UTM By 1-7 points

0.1%

UTM By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
57
EASTERN ILLINOIS
94
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
69
EASTERN ILLINOIS
78
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Skyhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks (-10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim Skyhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o133.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 EIU @ UTM 63 - 66
Jan 29, 2026 UTM @ EIU 76 - 68
Jan 3, 2026 EIU @ UTM 61 - 65
Feb 15, 2025 UTM @ EIU 72 - 68
Jan 16, 2025 EIU @ UTM 63 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.7% more
UT Martin: 9.8 vs Eastern Illinois: 8.1
Rebounding (L5) +12.6% more
UT Martin: 41.2 vs Eastern Illinois: 36.5
Turnovers (L5) +19.4% more
Eastern Illinois: 13.5 vs UT Martin: 10.9
Assists (L5) +11.2% more
Eastern Illinois: 14.9 vs UT Martin: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EIU Score 57.0 61
UTM Score 94.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 32.0 24.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.3 / 14.9 10.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.7 9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 43.6 38.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 71.6 / 74.2 85.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 41.2 / 36.5 41.0 / 34.0
Steals 9.8 / 8.1 7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 13.5 18.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU Advantage
15-13-2 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +0.8
UTM
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -1.7
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
EIU
UTM
EIU
ML
69% 22-10
56% 18-14
69% 20-9
74% 23-8
ATS
56% 18-14
50% 16-16
69% 20-9
74% 23-8
TTL
44% 14-18
69% 22-10
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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