SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
SPARTANSUPST
8-8 | Road
77
PRESBYTERIAN
BLUE HOSEPRES
7-8 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
BLUE HOSE
100%
SPARTANS
--
BLUE HOSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (South Carolina Upstate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UPST -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UPST)
UPST By 1-7 points
8.0%
UPST By 8-14 points
18.6%
PRES By 1-7 points
1.7%
PRES By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina Upstate
65
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Presbyterian
45
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
South Carolina Upstate
68
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Presbyterian
72
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spartans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Hose
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spartans (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Blue Hose (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
PRES @ UPST
74 - 76
Jan 3, 2026
UPST @ PRES
77 - 86
Feb 5, 2025
UPST @ PRES
64 - 75
Jan 8, 2025
PRES @ UPST
67 - 77
Feb 28, 2024
PRES @ UPST
72 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+12.7% more
South Carolina Upstate: 6.4
vs
Presbyterian: 5.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
South Carolina Upstate: 31.8%
vs
Presbyterian: 29.3%
Assists (L5)
+16.0% more
Presbyterian: 15.1
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 13.0
Turnovers (L5)
+12.0% more
Presbyterian: 13.9
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UPST Score
65.0
77
PRES Score
45.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 31.8
38.0 / 47.0
Assists
15.1 / 13.0
14.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 43.6
55.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 72.0
72.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 38.4
33.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.6 / 6.4
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 12.4
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UPST
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
PRES
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UPST
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
UPST
PRES
UPST
ML
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
80%
24-6
83%
25-5
ATS
59%
19-13
61%
19-12
80%
24-6
83%
25-5
TTL
59%
19-13
52%
16-15
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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