UCLA
BRUINSUCLA
10-3 | Road
61
IOWA
HAWKEYESIOWA
11-2 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
HAWKEYES
0%
BRUINS
--
HAWKEYES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IOWA -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IOWA)
UCLA By 1-7 points
4.8%
UCLA By 8-14 points
1.1%
IOWA By 1-7 points
15.3%
IOWA By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UCLA
58
UCLA
Iowa
73
IOWA
Simulated Score
UCLA
75
UCLA
Iowa
78
IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawkeyes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawkeyes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawkeyes (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Hawkeyes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
UCLA @ IOWA
61 - 74
Jan 17, 2025
IOWA @ UCLA
70 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.2% more
Iowa: 3.6
vs
UCLA: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+13.3% more
Iowa: 10.5
vs
UCLA: 9.3
Assists (L5)
+10.8% more
Iowa: 18.7
vs
UCLA: 16.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Iowa: 55.5%
vs
UCLA: 50.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCLA Score
58.0
61
IOWA Score
73.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 41.4
31.0 / 21.0
Assists
18.7 / 16.9
11.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.9
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
55.5 / 50.6
47.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
77.2 / 82.9
85.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 31.6
32.0 / 27.0
Steals
10.5 / 9.3
7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 9.2
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UCLA
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
IOWA
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UCLA
17-18-1
(48.6%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: 0.0
IOWA
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +2.5
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IOWA
UCLA
IOWA
UCLA
ML
59%
22-15
67%
24-12
78%
28-8
76%
25-8
ATS
76%
28-9
61%
22-14
78%
28-8
76%
25-8
TTL
57%
21-16
61%
22-14
100%
36-0
100%
33-0
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