VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
17-10-11 | Road
3
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
15-18-8 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | None-None | 4.10 | 0.789 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 3.00 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.10
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.789
Save %
Ldr 0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
BLUES
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
STL By 1 goal
12.1%
STL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
STL @ VGK
2 - 4
Jan 2, 2026
VGK @ STL
3 - 4
Nov 15, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 1
Jan 23, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 2
Jan 20, 2025
STL @ VGK
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.6% more
Vegas: 25.8
vs
St. Louis: 18.7
Power Play % (L5)
+14.0%
Vegas: 22.9%
vs
St. Louis: 8.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+11.2% more
Vegas: 4.5
vs
St. Louis: 4.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+50.6% more
St. Louis: 18.8
vs
Vegas: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
3
STL Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.8 / 12.5
9.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
48.9 / 48.0
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
23.5 / 24.7
19.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
888.0 / 2286.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
18.7 / 25.8
19.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.5
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
VGK
STL
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
1-1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points