OHIO STATE
BUCKEYESOSU
9-3 | Road
80
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
7-6 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKEYES
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
BUCKEYES
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Rutgers)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)
OSU By 1-7 points
16.9%
OSU By 8-14 points
6.8%
RUTG By 1-7 points
26.8%
RUTG By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ohio State
70
OHIO STATE
Rutgers
76
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Ohio State
68
OHIO STATE
Rutgers
72
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 2, 2026
OSU @ RUTG
80 - 73
Dec 7, 2024
RUTG @ OSU
66 - 80
Mar 10, 2024
OSU @ RUTG
73 - 51
Jan 3, 2024
RUTG @ OSU
72 - 76
Jan 15, 2023
OSU @ RUTG
64 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+70.3% more
Rutgers: 8.5
vs
Ohio State: 5.0
Turnovers (L5)
+26.7% more
Rutgers: 13.4
vs
Ohio State: 10.6
Blocks (L5)
+21.4% more
Rutgers: 4.1
vs
Ohio State: 3.4
Assists (L5)
+52.1% more
Ohio State: 17.5
vs
Rutgers: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OSU Score
70.0
80
RUTG Score
76.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.7 / 27.9
27.0 / 44.0
Assists
8.4 / 17.5
14.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.4
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
36.4 / 50.9
42.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 80.9
76.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 35.2
31.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.5 / 5.0
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 10.6
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OSU
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 6.7
ATS +/-: +1.8
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OSU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 6.7
ATS +/-: +1.8
RUTG
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -1.0
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
OSU
RUTG
OSU
ML
53%
18-16
53%
18-16
70%
23-10
73%
24-9
ATS
68%
23-11
59%
20-14
70%
23-10
73%
24-9
TTL
53%
18-16
56%
19-15
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
Indiana Hoosiers Fans Invade Rutgers Homecoming as Hoosiers Roll…
Rutgers Basketball Preseason: Standouts and Storylines from Tues…
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class