Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gamecocks @ Blue Hens JXST @ DEL

JACKSONVILLE STATE

GAMECOCKSJXST

6-6  |  Road

67
FINAL
Fri, Jan 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Bob Carpenter Center
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

4-8  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
📊
BLUE HENS
0%
GAMECOCKS --
BLUE HENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Delaware)
GamecocksJXST (-3.5) 0 Blue HensDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

38.2%

Blue Hens Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)

JXST By 1-7 points

21.6%

JXST By 8-14 points

10.7%

DEL By 1-7 points

27.2%

DEL By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
80
JACKSONVILLE STATE
83
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
68
JACKSONVILLE STATE
72
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Hens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hens Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Hens (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Blue Hens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o126.5 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u126.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 DEL @ JXST 70 - 80
Jan 2, 2026 JXST @ DEL 67 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +14.2% more
Delaware: 3.6 vs Jacksonville State: 3.2
Steals (L5) +11.3% more
Delaware: 5.9 vs Jacksonville State: 5.3
Assists (L5) +10.5% more
Delaware: 12.4 vs Jacksonville State: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5) +10.0%
Delaware: 74.7% vs Jacksonville State: 64.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JXST Score 80.0 67
DEL Score 83.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 40.6 34.0 / 35.0
Assists 12.4 / 11.2 12.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.6 / 3.2 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.5 / 47.6 44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 74.7 / 64.8 83.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 31.1 / 35.0 26.0 / 32.0
Steals 5.9 / 5.3 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.8 / 13.1 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
44%MONEY56%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
13-15-1 (46.4%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
DEL Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3% Total +/-: +0.4
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
JXST
DEL
JXST
ML
45% 14-17
50% 16-16
52% 16-15
55% 17-14
ATS
61% 19-12
62% 20-12
52% 16-15
55% 17-14
TTL
65% 20-11
62% 20-12
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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