LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
5-8 | Road
84
SAINT FRANCIS
RED FLASHSFPA
2-11 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
0%
RED FLASH
100%
DOLPHINS
--
RED FLASH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
LE MOYNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Le Moyne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LEM -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEM)
LEM By 1-7 points
0.5%
LEM By 8-14 points
2.7%
SFPA By 1-7 points
0.0%
SFPA By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Le Moyne
87
LE MOYNE
Saint Francis
54
SAINT FRANCIS
Simulated Score
Le Moyne
68
LE MOYNE
Saint Francis
71
SAINT FRANCIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Flash
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dolphins (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Red Flash (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
SFPA @ LEM
84 - 86
Jan 2, 2026
LEM @ SFPA
84 - 58
Feb 20, 2025
SFPA @ LEM
81 - 76
Feb 6, 2025
LEM @ SFPA
78 - 86
Mar 2, 2024
LEM @ SFPA
74 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+70.2% more
Le Moyne: 5.4
vs
Saint Francis: 1.6
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Le Moyne: 12.9
vs
Saint Francis: 10.8
Rebounding (L5)
+14.9% more
Le Moyne: 35.4
vs
Saint Francis: 30.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.3%
Le Moyne: 70.1%
vs
Saint Francis: 61.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEM Score
87.0
84
SFPA Score
54.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 33.2
32.0 / 52.0
Assists
13.1 / 13.4
13.0 / 16.0
Blocks
1.6 / 5.4
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 41.8
32.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
61.7 / 70.1
55.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 35.4
30.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.8
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 12.9
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
SFPA
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
SFPA
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: -9.5
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
SFPA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SFPA
LEM
SFPA
LEM
ML
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
67%
20-10
68%
21-10
ATS
68%
21-10
65%
20-11
67%
20-10
69%
22-10
TTL
58%
18-13
42%
13-18
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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